Grid Under Strain

BB Desk

In the biting winters of Kashmir and the sweltering summers of Jammu, electricity is no longer a basic utility—it has become a daily struggle. As households rely on bukhari heaters and farmers run irrigation pumps, demand surges beyond the capacity of an already fragile grid. Jammu reaches around 1,600 MW during peak summer, while Kashmir exceeds 2,035 MW in winter. Overall demand in the Union Territory is projected to hit 3,813 MW by 2026–27 and cross 4,100 MW by 2028–29. These figures are not just statistics—they translate into power cuts in homes, disruptions in industries, and a tourism sector forced to apologise to its guests.

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The crisis is even more striking given Jammu and Kashmir’s vast hydropower potential. Of an estimated 18,000 MW, only about 3,540 MW has been harnessed. The rest remains stalled due to bureaucratic delays, environmental clearances, and unresolved disputes. Even the existing generation fails to match seasonal demand. During winter, when Kashmir needs electricity the most, river flows decline and generation drops sharply. This leads to heavy dependence on imported power—up to 95 per cent during peak winter—along with persistent shortages.

However, the core issue lies within the system itself. Nearly half of the electricity—over 48 per cent—is lost before it is billed or paid for. This reflects not just inefficiency, but systemic failure. Ageing infrastructure, overloaded transformers, and weak distribution networks contribute to technical losses. At the same time, electricity theft, faulty metering, and weak enforcement drive commercial losses. The resulting financial burden runs into crores every day.

Infrastructure development has not kept pace with rising demand. Although some capacity has been added, the grid remains vulnerable, especially during peak winter loads. Remote areas continue to face poor connectivity, while urban centres experience frequent overloads. Smart meters have been introduced, but without strict enforcement, their impact remains limited. Scheduled power cuts have become routine, affecting healthcare services, education, and daily life.

The economic impact is significant. Tourism, a key sector in Kashmir, suffers when basic services fail. Small and medium industries in Jammu rely heavily on costly diesel generators to remain operational. Rising per capita electricity consumption reflects growing aspirations, but without reliable supply, development plans—such as industrial expansion and electric mobility—remain uncertain.

Government initiatives aim to address the crisis, with plans to expand hydropower capacity, invest in infrastructure, and promote solar energy. However, progress on the ground has been slow. Projects face delays, loss reduction targets are not met, and demand-side management remains limited. Even surplus energy during summer is not efficiently stored or redistributed.

The way forward requires urgency and accountability. Reducing transmission and distribution losses must be a top priority, supported by strict enforcement and institutional reform. Investment in modern grid infrastructure, including stronger transmission networks and smart systems, is essential. Encouraging private participation through transparent policies can also accelerate progress.

Jammu and Kashmir has the potential to become a major exporter of clean energy. What it lacks is effective execution. When a region rich in natural resources continues to face power shortages, the issue is not availability—it is governance. The coming years will determine whether the region transforms its power sector or continues to struggle with unmet potential.